Letter to the Editor

Once the Ukrainian offensive has petered out, it will probably be the Russians turn.

A Russian counter-offensive resulting with the complete destruction of Ukraine’s remaining military, might well be designed to create the victory conditions necessary for Ukraine’s ‘unconditional surrender.’

Only a total unconditional surrender will allow Russia to completely paciify Ukraine, and eliminate any future threat involving the West’s installation of it’s military hardware into what can only be described as a massive ‘geographical salient’ into Russia’s southern territories.

Ukraine offensive could soon peter out

This reminds one of the Red Army’s Kursk salient of 1943, which extended deep into German territory. From a military logistics point of view, these salients are extremely undesirable as they create an unnecessary lengthening of the front line, which needless to say, requires more men and material to maintain and defend, hence, resulting with the second and third defensive lines, being committed to a thin first line of defence. This of course, eliminates the reserve defence system, which creates an extremely weak military position.

By removing the ‘Ukraine salient’ which currently penetrates deep into Russia’s southern border, Russia will shorten its southern frontline in a very big way. This will then require a smaller military to offer the same amount of defence.

If Russia’s intention is to secure its southern border, I am now starting to ponder?, if not conclude, that Russia may well be privately aiming for a military western advance into Ukraine, – but only until it reaches a depth that is roughly in line with its border to its ally Belarus?

If this is the intention?, then to my mind, the region between Kiev and Zhytomir would be the perfect area to halt one’s western advance, – this would create an ideal vertical continuation of Russia’s border from its ally Belarus to Moldova.

From a purely strategic point of view, a quick examination of a map, will confirm that this would completely eliminate the Ukraine salient and shorten Russia’s southern border (ie., front line) by two thirds. This would be highly desirable.

A less ambitious advance, would create a new border/front line from Sumy to Crimea. This would half the salient, and thus, half Russia’s current frontline.

As Putin recently said, – ‘We haven’t even started anything yet.’

From Dr

United Kingdom