by Craig Kelly MP [Liberal]
Dangerous rising sea levels are one the biggest scare tactics used by the Global Warming Alarmist establishment.
This hysteria is used to justify; higher taxes, bigger government and more subsidies to their associates in the wind turbine industry – all in the belief that King Canute like we can hold back the seven seas from rising.
For example,
* The Rudd/Gillard/Rudd government’s official Climate Commissioner and former Australian-of-the-Year, Tim Flannery has prophesied of 25 metre sea level rises.
“Picture an eight-storey building by a beach, then imagine waves lapping its roof,” Flannery terrifyingly warned of.
* ‘Our’ ABC runs alarmist headlines such as; “Brisbane, Sydney among cities that will slip under the waves with 2 degree Celsius global warming”, warning that an “estimated 90,000 Sydneysiders live in areas that would eventually become ocean …”
* Labor’s Deputy Opposition leader Tanya Plibersek tells stories of islands that have “already been swallowed by the rising ocean”. And when questioned on the claim, in parliament she farcically held up a picture of the open ocean as “proof” that the vanished island had been consumed by rising seas. (Although there was some confusion whether Ms Plibersek’s vanished island was called Eneko, Aneko or Atlantis)
However, to examine what’s really happening with “rising sea levels” perhaps Ms Plibersek could have checked out the Sydney Harbour foreshore in her own electorate, and looked at a few historical photo’s or examined the tide gauges which been measuring sea levels at Fort Denison ever since 1865.
FORT DENISON
Fort Denison, is one of eight islands in Sydney Harbour, and was originally named “Rock Island” by Governor Arthur Phillip soon after European settlement.
Noted for its distinctive, rocky topography, the island originally rose almost 15 metres above sea level.
In 1841, the island was levelled to the sea line to make way for a fortification in response to a perceived threat after two American warships entered the harbour at night and circled the Island.
The levelling of the Island can be considered one of the earliest ‘heritage issues’ in Sydney. The Presbyterian minster John Dunmore Lang derided its destruction as “the folly of man” and described the intact island as a ‘natural ornament of the harbour’ which had stood ‘like a sentinel keeping watch upon the harbour for thousands of years’.
The original construction plans were abandoned, and only resumed in 1855 due to fear of a Russian naval attack during the Crimean War.
The construction of Fort Denison was completed on 14 November 1857, and in 1865 a tide gauge was established by the Government Astronomer from the Sydney Observatory, and ever since, seas levels have been measured at Fort Denison, providing one of the longest running sea level records in the world.
No less an authority than the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) records that the sea level rise at Fort Denison is “averaging 0.65 millimeters/year based on monthly mean sea level data from 1886 to 2010”.
That’s 0.65mm a year, or 6.5mm a decade, or 6.5cm (about 2.5 inches) over an entire century.
SEA LEVEL RISES DECELERATING
One of Australia’s foremost experts on the relationship between climate change and sea levels, Phil Wilson has written a peer-reviewed paper concluding that rises in sea levels are “decelerating”.
Based on the century-long tide gauge records at Fort Denison as well as; Fremantle, Western Australia (from 1897 to present), Auckland Harbour in New Zealand (1903 to present), and Pilot Station at Newcastle (1925 to present), the analysis finds there was a “consistent trend of weak deceleration” from 1940 to 2000.
Climate change researcher Howard Brady, at Macquarie University, said the recent research meant sea levels rises accepted by the CSIRO were “already dead in the water as having no sound basis in probability”.
“In all cases, it is clear that sea-level rise, although occurring, has been decelerating for at least the last half of the 20th century, and so the present trend would only produce sea level rise of around 15cm for the 21st century.”
Dr Brady said the divergence between the sea-level trends from (computer) models and sea-level trends from the tide gauge records was now so great “it is clear there is a serious problem with the models”.
Fancy that.
“A COLOSSAL SCARE STORY”
But if there is one scientist who knows more about sea levels than anyone else in the world it is the Swedish geologist and physicist Nils-Axel Mörner, formerly chairman of the INQUA International Commission on Sea Level Change.
Dr Mörner, who for 35 years has been using every known scientific method to study sea levels all over the globe, is that all this talk about the sea rising is nothing but “a colossal scare story.”
Despite fluctuations down as well as up, “the sea is not rising,” he says. “It hasn’t risen in 50 years.” If there is any rise this century it will “not be more than 10cm (four inches), with an uncertainty of plus or minus 10cm”.
And quite apart from examining the hard evidence, he says, the elementary laws of physics (latent heat needed to melt ice) tell us that the apocalypse conjured up by Al Gore and Co “could not possibly come about”.
Craig Kelly, before he was a politician, was a furniture salesman……..those credentials are exactly what l look for when looking into the science of climate change and sea level rise……it is obvious to disbelieve NOAA, CSIRO, BoM, NASA etc and listen to Craig Kelly
Thank you Sauron you have summed it up with great precision. Can someone show this to Greta the little monster created by the climate change worshippers?Editor
Necroposting I know, but I want to propose to potentially sympathetic ears that I think Al Gore’s 150′ sea rise covering manhattan could occur, but not for the stated reasons. Climate change is definitely an overblown hoax at best and thinly veiled attempt to “redistribute” wealth via carbon exchanges and taxes. I’ve had another thought though. I remember how knowledge about the movements of the planets was used to create religious and political power many centuries ago by using eclipses and such things to scare people. Given that the magnetic pole is predicted to switch soon, one can’t help but wonder what tectonic disturbances or changes in earth orbit might accompany that. Given also that there is a REALLY large bulge of water at the equator, such a disturbance in orbit would have to cause that water to “slosh”. That’s an awful lot of sloshing and it would have to go somewhere right? It would very much look like the NYC flooding in “An Inconvenient Truth”. Problem with this is there’s not much way to redistribute wealth based on that scenario. I mean, how would you propose to “invest” in stopping the reversing magnetic pole, or the needed 200+ foot seawall based on such tenuous predictions? I’m wondering if maybe the political elites have access to ACTUAL science (not the fake AGW kind) that predicts this sort of result from the magnetic pole change and are playing musical chairs to see who gets to be the messianic global warming hero when the floods hit. People would be so panicked and ignorant of the causality generally that they would probably buy anything a government was willing to tell them even if it were Climate Change fairy tales?
The first thing you hear from the climate doom-sayers is that 98% of the worlds scientists say climate change is real, but that quickly breaks down once you ask the right questions. It generally only takes three questions. One. How many scientists are there in the world? (How can you say what a 98% percentage of the worlds scientists is, if a study to find out how many scientists there are, has never been undertaken?) Two: “Climate change is real”…Er..perhaps, but who says it’s man-made? One Krakatoa, or one mount ST Helens, or Icelandic volcano equates to several centuries of man-made gases emitted, so how many volcano’s have gone off in history, and what cumulative effect did they have on this particular century?
Three. Who commissioned the report and who gave the funding? Scientific bodies are notorious for chasing government funding, so their findings will always reflect the wishes of the piper. What I see with my own eyes is that the same rock that sticks it’s head up a couple of inches at high tide, is still exactly the same as it was when I was a child, some 65 years ago.
You probably find NASA, NOAA, WMO and the BOM pompous as well? I certainly believe these people before the conspiracy theorists such as yourself.
http://thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/2017/01/02/2016-hottest-year/?utm_source=Responsys&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=20170103_TND
Propagandist? you give me to much credit for just stating scientific facts which are a complete opposite to your conspiracy theories, if you really believe your conspiracy theories next time you’re crook don’t go to a doctor because it’s the same scientists working in a different field that through research procure the medicines for him to make you well that agree man made climate change is a fact not a theory, who do I believe the scientists or a very small diminishing minority of conspiracy theorists, I’m not out there with the fairies I’ll go with the science!
Robert: You seem a very active properganderist caught up in your craft. Nothing so sullies the integrity of humanity as the subversion of science for the servitude of politics you have shown classifying people as “Red Necks” for supporting another view. This leaves you at a distinct disadvantaged when factual evidence challenges your personal agenda to fly your false flag.
If you consider it pompous to believe in the science of climate change I’m pompous, but also consider this, red necks like Craig Kelly are the first to use the discoveries of science when they’re sick, penicillin etc, in fact they seem to believe in all things scientific until they come up with something that doesn’t suit their warped right wing political ideologies, funny that isn’t red necks believe in science but only the science that suits them.
Don’t you find being pompous to be a handicap….apart from being wrong, that is?
If Tim Flannery was so sure the sea would rise by 25 feet, metres or what ever fantastic number he had in mind…WHY DID HE BUILD A HOUSE ON THE WATER A FEW YEARS AGO??Hypocrite!
It just makes you shake your head when you realise the dodo’s that voted for Craig Kelly are dumber than him!
Great article.